Time to trade the Smurf in for a proper vehicle
that can cope ... ?
that can cope ... ?
Today's forecast from M.T. Cranium on the Boards.ie Weather Forum said:Sunday, 25 February, 2018
Forecasts for Ireland
ADVANCE ALERT continues for very cold temperatures and potentially heavy snowfalls from Monday night to at least Friday of next week.
TODAY ... Sunny intervals, rather cold with highs 5 to 8 C. Winds increasing at times to southeast 50 to 80 km/hr. Somewhat more cloud in far west at times.
TONIGHT ... Clear and cold, lows -5 to -1 C.
MONDAY ... Sunny intervals to start the day, then variable cloud developing, turning sharply colder during the day, possible snow or sleet showers by late afternoon or evening near south and east coasts. Morning temperatures rising slowly to about 3 to 5 C, then falling during the afternoon in eastern counties, with a slight risk of snow or sleet showers by sunset, winds east-southeast 50 to 80 km/hr.
TUESDAY ... Windy and very cold with risk of snow developing across eastern and southern counties, morning lows -7 to -3 C, afternoon highs -1 to +3 C, winds east to northeast 40 to 70 km/hr adding a chill factor (feeling like -6 C). Heavy snow is likely to develop late in the day across Leinster. 5 to 15 cms possible there. This snow may be accompanied by thunder. Flurries or light snow could occasionally develop further south and west. Hail and sleet showers may be reported near sea level on east coast but snow will dominate any distance inland.
WEDNESDAY ... Windy and very cold with widespread snow, some of it heavy at times with thunder possible. A few sunny breaks in north Connacht, Donegal and north Clare, but flurries could invade there too, in winds east to northeast 50 to 80 km/hr. Morning lows generally -4 C but could be as low as -8 C in a few parts of the northwest. Afternoon highs -4 to +1 C. Snowfalls of 10 to 30 cms are possible in Leinster and 5 to 20 cms in some parts of Munster, inland southeast Connacht, and much of Ulster except likely less in Donegal. Near blizzard conditions are possible, and severe disruptions to travel may begin to intensify (with an extension of that in the following outlook).
THURSDAY and FRIDAY present a forecast challenge in that low pressure could be moving up from the south to clash with the very cold air, and this could set off a prolonged interval of heavy snowfalls, amounts between 10 and 50 cms are possible in this period but forecasts could change closer to the time. If the low does not get close enough to participate, it will be more of a continuation of the east coast and occasionally south coast snowfalls (perhaps 10 to 30 cm) in cold east to northeast winds 60 to 90 km/hr, so the low would be mostly a cause for snow to spread further west and north. Another variable is that the low could push close enough to Ireland by Friday to change the snow to sleet or rain, at least for a time, some model scenarios have this happening only near the southeast coast with snow gradually tapering off as the low moves away by Saturday.
The extended OUTLOOK is for one of two possible scenarios, depending on which group of guidance models proves to be correct. Either we see a gradual end to the cold spell with rain at times, fast melting of the snow pack with possible local flooding, and milder temperatures (to 7 C) or the cold hangs on in modified form, keeping the snow pack from melting very fast, in sleety bouts of light snow or rain and temperatures around 3 C. With that second scenario, cold air is not pushed very far north and could return for a second engagement around 7th of March or so.
At any rate, we can be fairly confident of extremely cold weather with localized snowfalls mostly in Leinster, south and east Munster and east Ulster for three or four days, and moderately confident of a heavy snowfall to follow that by Thursday night into Friday, but what happens from there on remains low confidence and so you could look for clarity on that by perhaps Thursday.
Met Eireann forecast said:Outlook
Headline: Becoming exceptionally cold with severe frosts and significant snowfall in parts.
Monday night: Dry on Monday night apart from the odd snow flurry near the east coast. A sharp frost will form with temperatures falling between -1 and -5 degrees in light or moderate easterly breezes.
Tuesday: Frost gradually clearing on Tuesday morning to leave it dry at first with some sunny spells. However, cloud will increase from the east in the afternoon with patchy sleet and snow moving in to affect parts of east Ulster, Leinster and east Munster - staying largely dry elsewhere. Maximum temperatures on Tuesday of 2 to 5 degrees in a biting east to northeast wind.
Tuesday night: Snow showers will become fairly frequent across eastern counties during Tuesday evening and overnight with slight to moderate accumulations expected by dawn. A good deal of dry weather elsewhere but a few snow showers cannot be ruled out. A severe frost forming with temperatures falling to between -3 and -7 degrees.
Wednesday: Extremely cold on Wednesday with sunny spells and snow showers, the snow showers will be heaviest and most frequent across the eastern half of the country with further accumulations expected. Temperatures remaining below freezing in most parts of the country with frost and ice persisting through the day. Maximum temperatures will range from -1 to +1 degrees in strong and gusty easterly winds.
Wednesday night: Further snow showers overnight, mainly across Ulster, Leinster and east Munster but with a few flurries possible elsewhere. Severe frost forming nationwide with temperatures falling to between -3 and -7 degrees in strong easterly winds.
Thursday: Bitterly cold on Thursday with scattered snow showers at first. A more persistent spell of snow is expected to develop across the south of the country during the afternoon, extending northwards later in the day. Strong to gale force easterly winds will accompany the snow leading to drifting, especially over high ground. Highest temperatures on Thursday ranging from -1 to +2 degrees. Outbreaks of sleet and snow across the country overnight with further accumulations.
Friday: There remains some uncertainty on weather conditions for Friday but it looks set to remain cold and unsettled with further outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow.