I think that he has a good chance; however from what I saw on the Television last night apparently the White Americans are the ones who support him the most, whereas the Black Americans rate Hillary Clinton - due to Bill's legacy.
As far as the Americans being thick...well all humans are thick. They are 'God's' little personal joke and give God a lot of amusement with their stupid ways and habits. Many are convinced they are going to heaven to be with God...a dumb human with the IQ of...chatting to a superbeiing capable of creating them and the universe...yeah right on
There is much to admire and dispise about the Yanks, but that is true of every culture.......
In reality it always depends on how you see the world to how you see other people and cultures within that world.
If you despise something about a people it is likely it is something you despise in your self.
I spoke to quite a few American a few weeks ago and made the joke of saying "OK how about Hilary for President"? The look of horror on their faces had to be seen to be beleived, none of them would vote Republican at the next election but the thought of Mrs C in the whitehouse was just as bad and they didn't consider that Obama had the experience to carry the job .