Having watched most of the debates and lots of the caucus coverage for both parties (because that's what politically intersted Canadians do -- follow American politics like a hawk, especially when the Mulroney/Schreiber Committee in on a break), I sadly fear that the people saying Obama will get the nod are right. The Kennedy approval seems to be the clincher.
What worries me about Obama is that while he may be big on inspiration, he is lousy on the details and the specifcs. Actually even listening to his speeches with a careful ear (as opposed to a sense the sense of rapture demonstrated by most of his supporters), it becomes obvious that he barely makes sense at times -- at least from a logical perspective. He can't seem to make a solid argument or case. He often scrambles his facts and dates and has difficulty going straight from A to B to C. He even admitted that his biggest weakness is that he is disorganized. Those aren't traits I want to see in a U.S. president.
Now that Edwards is out of the race, and it's reallly down to just Clinton and Obama, my preference would be for Clinton, even if I don't trust her to manage the U.S./Canadian relationship in a way that would be beneficial to us. (I also have my doubts about Edwards, but for different reasons, and was on the fence between the two of them.)
I also don't believe that the Democrats have a lock on the White House. As much as it seems obvious to me on this side of the border that the Republicans need to take a break from governing, Americans have been known to produce some truly amazing election results out of seemingly thin air.
For anybody interested or just bored, Glassbooth - Quiz to help you choose best 2008 presidential candidate
is designed to help you (well, technically Americans
) decide on which candidate is most compatible with your own personal views. My result (not that I need a computer program to tell me who to support) was Gravel, Edwards, Clinton. Paul was my highest ranked Republican, which I must admit pleased me, for while I don't agree with most of his stands on hard-core evangelical issues (women's rights, gay rights, health care and some economic policies) I do love his take on U.S. foreign relations, and I really admire his willingness to stand up and express his feelings about the current administration. I think he's a true character, and sometimes you need a character in politics.